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2022-11-07 -Short Attention Span Theater-

FiveThirtyEight - Republicans Now Favored to Take Senate, Too

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Posted by Bobby 2022-11-07 08:30|| E-Mail|| Front Page|| [3 views ] Top

#1 Pollsters have a tough job because they can't calculate or report on the level of election corruption.

Still I'm glad to see they are starting to take their thumbs off the scales if a bit late.

Posted by ruprecht 2022-11-07 10:26|| 2022-11-07 10:26|| Front Page Top

#2 Five Thirty Eight is an operative masquerading as a pollster. Halloween is over so they are fudging their numbers back towards to maintain the viability of their scam in the future.

Posted by Don Vito Spomong3236 2022-11-07 12:17|| 2022-11-07 12:17|| Front Page Top

#3 Trafalgar is far and away the most accurate (or least inaccurate) of the national polling organizations. They’re the only one that Republicans are willing to talk to (Rasmussen too but they’re unreliable).

Posted by Billy B 2022-11-07 12:20|| 2022-11-07 12:20|| Front Page Top

#4 It doesn't help that there seems to be no consequences for inaccuracy. Hacks purporting to be experts would have a less successful scam if there was no market for their wrong calls.

Posted by Super Hose 2022-11-07 12:56|| 2022-11-07 12:56|| Front Page Top

#5 Nate Silver Prepares For Biennial Tradition Of Screaming That His Wildly Erroneous Polls Were Somehow Right

Posted by M. Murcek 2022-11-07 12:58|| 2022-11-07 12:58|| Front Page Top

#6 Trafalgar’s Ohio poll from last night now has JD Vance up by almost ELEVEN POINTS over Tim Ryan. Other pollsters — the left-lib pollsters whom no alert Republican will talk to — had Ryan ahead as recently as a week ago.

The only way that tomorrow cannot be a total wipeout is if we get more ballot box stuffing and other shenanigans from the Dems.

Posted by Billy B 2022-11-07 14:12|| 2022-11-07 14:12|| Front Page Top

#7 I'm deeply amused to go to RealClearPolitics site and see all the polls they are touting that show various candidates up by a fraction of a point. Isn't the usual "margin of error" +/- 3 points?

Posted by M. Murcek 2022-11-07 14:19|| 2022-11-07 14:19|| Front Page Top

#8 Trafalgar now shows GA breaking for Walker. Very close to the 50% threshold needed to avoid a runoff.

WI breaking for Johnson.
PA breaking for Oz.
OH’s in the bag.

Big big night tomorrow. Great Ukraine Grift ends in 30 hours.

Tick tock

Posted by Billy B 2022-11-07 14:19|| 2022-11-07 14:19|| Front Page Top

#9 Isn't the usual "margin of error" +/- 3 points?

In 2020 the Democrat pollsters were so biased, they were off by 5 points or more in dozens of states — always tilted toward Biden, of course.

Trafalgar’s the only major pollster that played it straight. They were the most accurate by far.

Posted by Billy B 2022-11-07 14:24|| 2022-11-07 14:24|| Front Page Top

#10 Forget the Ukraine, we need to cut off the pork tap for EVERYONE.

Posted by Silentbrick 2022-11-07 15:18|| 2022-11-07 15:18|| Front Page Top

#11 Isn't the usual "margin of error" +/- 3 points?

Good question, M. It depends on the size of the sample they’re polling plus other factors like how closely the sample matches the total population it’s supposed to represent. When the numbers are within the margin of error, we used to call it directional — pointing out that this meant the differences might not be real, as compared to significant at whatever confidence level (90%, 95%, 99%, etc.). I imagine professional pollsters use the same vocabulary.

Posted by trailing wife 2022-11-07 16:18|| 2022-11-07 16:18|| Front Page Top

#12 PA will go dem. Count on it.
Same for Michigan, probably GA.
The fix is in.

Posted by Vespasian Ebboting9735 2022-11-07 16:34|| 2022-11-07 16:34|| Front Page Top

#13 They could steal it, sure, but JD Vance being up by double digits is a bellwether.

Posted by Billy B 2022-11-07 16:40|| 2022-11-07 16:40|| Front Page Top

#14 Even when/if the Dems lose, they'll still have 3 months to sow their 'revenge'.

Posted by Mullah Richard 2022-11-07 16:50|| 2022-11-07 16:50|| Front Page Top

#15 The pubs could give the dems a good dose of their "quorum denial" medicine between Nov 8 and the seating of the next congress. As the dems like prescribing it, they should love taking a dose themselves.

Posted by M. Murcek 2022-11-07 17:10|| 2022-11-07 17:10|| Front Page Top

#16 Watch for the DOJ/FBI run out some charges against Reps for vote tampering. They will go after the high profile GOP winners. May not allow them to take their seats in Congress.

Posted by Xyz 2022-11-07 17:34|| 2022-11-07 17:34|| Front Page Top

#17 PA's voter verification computers should finish rebooting sometime in January.

Posted by Shamp Snurt3261 2022-11-07 20:49|| 2022-11-07 20:49|| Front Page Top

23:58 Slavigum Gruting9373
23:56 Slavigum Gruting9373
23:46 Shamp Snurt3261
23:45 Snith Thrusotch7340
23:41 Sheba Flomp1816
23:02 JohnQC
22:47 Big Brother Is Sniffing You
22:24 Big Brother Is Sniffing You
22:23 Shamp Snurt3261
22:22 trailing wife
22:20 Shamp Snurt3261
22:16 Sheba Flomp1816
22:13 Shamp Snurt3261
22:11 Shamp Snurt3261
22:06 Sheba Flomp1816
22:01 Shamp Snurt3261
21:42 Slavigum Gruting9373
21:40 Big Brother Is Sniffing You
21:36 trailing wife
21:34 Billy B
21:28 Super Hose
21:24 DarthVader
21:21 Woodrow
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