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Recent Appearances... Rantburg

Africa Horn
Ex-governor turned candidate running for parliamentary seat killed in Somalia
2022-01-24
[Garowe] A former governor was on Saturday night assassinated by al-Shabaab
...... an Islamic infestation centering on Somalia attempting to metastasize into Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and similar places, all of which have enough problems without them...
turbans in the latest wave of killings by the Death Eater group, which has been targeting innocent civilians, security forces, and government officials.

Abdirahman Ibrahim Maow who served as Hiran region governor went titzup after two button men fired at him just when leaving a nearby Mosque within Wadajir District in the Somali capital Mogadishu.

State media said local officials confirmed the tragic incident which comes just days after the al-Shabaab turbans killed over 10 people in three separate events within Mogadishu in a short period of time.

Abdirahman Ibrahim Maow, besides serving as Hiran region governor, also worked with the Islamic Courts Union from 2006-2007. Critically, in 2009 he joined Hizbul Islam, then led by Hassan Dahir Aweys.

The al-Shabaab turbans did not immediately reveal the reasons behind the shooting but did confirm that they were behind the incident. The al-Shabaab have been targeting senior government officials including those who have since quit the government.

Currently, al-Shabaab controls large swathes of rural central and southern Somalia, but a concerted military effort has significantly weakened the group. al-Shabaab turbans are keen to topple the fragile UN-backed Somalia administration.

The African Union
...a union consisting of 53 African states, most run by dictators of one flavor or another. The only all-African state not in the AU is Morocco. Established in 2002, the AU is the successor to the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), which was even less successful...
Mission Forces [AMISOM] have been working closely with Somali National Army [SNA] in the war against al-Shabaab. The United States and The Sick Man of Europe Turkey
...the occupiers of Greek Asia Minor...
also work closely with the Somali security forces.
Link


Africa Horn
UN envoy calls on Govt to negotiate with Al shabaab
2017-05-18
[SHABELLENEWS] Defeating al-Shabaab
... the Islamic version of the old Somali warlord...
snuffies in Somalia requires a "carrot and stick" approach that could eventually include political negotiations with the Islamist holy warriors, the U.N.’s top official in the country tells Newsweek.
The ever-helpful UN...
Somalia’s President Mohammed Abdullahi Farmajo, elected in February, has declared a state of war against the al-Qaeda affiliate. The president offered a 60-day amnesty to disaffected members of the group in April and has pledged to eradicate it within two years.

Al-Shabaab emerged from the Islamic Courts Union that was ousted from the Somali capital, Mogadishu, by Æthiopian forces in 2006.

The snuffies have carried out major attacks in Somalia and neighboring countries, such as Kenya, and regularly carry out suicide kabooms in the Somali capital Mogadishu, killing civilians, government officials and soldiers.

Michael Keating, the Special Representative of U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres in Somalia, tells Newsweek that while the offer of an amnesty was a good start, it would not be sufficient to placate the holy warrior group.

"I don’t think an amnesty on its own is going to work. It’s a signal more than a strategy, saying ’We do not consider you all to be dyed in the wool ideological enemies,’" says Keating, speaking on the sidelines of a major international conference on Somalia in London Thursday.

"The amnesty is part of that carrot approach, but you also need the stick approach, particularly if they’re using violence to advance their political objectives."

Link


Africa Horn
Somalia is seeking Russia’s help in fighting Shaboobs
2016-04-20
Somalia is asking Russia to help equip its armed forces to fight terrorism in the Horn of Africa nation, where Islamic militant group al-Shabab is waging a deadly insurgency against the Western-backed government, according to Sputnik news agency, which is owned and operated by the Russian government.
Give the Rooshuns basing rights in Mogadishu and you'll get a deal...
Mogadishu is also seeking Moscow’s support in strengthening its flagging economy, Somali Prime Minister Omar Abdirashid Ali Sharmarke reportedly said Tuesday at a meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.

“Support in peacekeeping operations is one of the possible aspects of strengthening our armed forces. It is highly important for us to strengthen our law enforcement agencies to fight terrorism. Therefore, we would like to request such support from you,” Sharmarke apparently said at the meeting in Moscow. “We expect closer Somalia-Russia cooperation.”

During Tuesday’s meeting, Lavrov said Russia is ready to consider military cooperation to help Somalia battle terrorism in the hostile region.
I thought the UN and ANISOM had all this under control...
“I know that during your visit to Russia, you would like to talk in particular about equipping the Somali security forces with all that is necessary to fight terrorists,” he reportedly told Sharmarke in Moscow. “Such an approach is fully consistent with the interests of the international community, in line with the U.N. Security Council decisions and Russia will be ready to consider a request on the matter.”

Al-Shabab, whose name means “the youth,” emerged in 2006 from the now-defunct Islamic Courts Union, which once commanded Somalia’s capital of Mogadishu. The Sunni extremist group launched its own insurgency on major Somali cities in 2009, taking control of Mogadishu and southern Somalia until it was pushed out by domestic and international forces around 2012.

Al-Shabab regularly targets officials in its efforts to topple Somalia’s Western-backed government as well as civilians and non-Muslims. Although it’s based in Somalia, al-Shabab also has launched deadly attacks in neighboring countries. Many areas of south-central Somalia are still under al-Shabab’s control, and the militants have increased efforts in recent months to recapture lost territories.

Decades of civil war has also ravaged much of Somalia’s economic infrastructure, institutions and government structure, according to the World Bank. Clan warlords have battled for power in the East African country since the collapse of a quasi communist military dictator’s regime in the early 1990s. After years of interim authority, a federal government headed by the president and parliament was established in 2012. But Somalia’s internationally recognized government has failed to assert central authority over the nation which, coupled with high unemployment, has created a nice for piracy and armed groups.
Link


Africa Horn
Somalia's Shebab leader outlines plans for East Africa terror expansion
2015-07-18
[AlAhram] The leader of Somalia's Al-Qaeda-affiliated Shabaab rebels on Friday issued an Eid message calling for a wave of new recruits in order to "lift the pain of Moslems" across East Africa.

In a statement that underscored the group's ambition to expand its operations, Shabaab leader Ahmed Diriye, also known as Ahmed Umar Abu Ubaidah, took aim at Kenya, Æthiopia, Djibouti and Uganda.

"The sword of the Mujahedeen is drawn and attacks against the enemy are ongoing countrywide and we are calling them to increase their attacks on the infidels," he said in a statement posted on an Islamist website.

"We say to our beloved brothers living in territories under Kenyan colonisation that your brothers will never stop coming to your assistance," he said.

"You have to know that Jihad is the only way you can free yourselves from the oppression and humiliation you are now facing, so rush and join in the Jihad... and liberate your territories from the Christians."

Diriye praised the April massacre at Garissa University in northeastern Kenya, in which four Shabaab gunnies killed 148 people, most of them students. The attackers were mostly Moslems from Kenya.

"We congratulate you and the rest of the Moslems in the world on the heroic Garissa university operation," the Shabaab leader said, saying the massacre was retaliation for "organised extrajudicial killings against holy mans and kidnappings of Islamic youth" along Kenya's Moslem-majority coastline.

"The time for the Christians to engage in atrocities without accountability is over," he said. "We pray to God to lift the pain of the Moslems in the whole of eastern Africa -- Æthiopia, Uganda and Djibouti."

"We will not spare any effort to assist you, and the doors of our training camps are open to receive you and our houses are open to welcome you."

The Shabaab, meaning "youth" in Arabic, emerged out of a bitter insurgency against Æthiopia, whose troops entered Somalia in a 2006 US-backed invasion to topple the Islamic Courts Union that was then controlling the capital Mogadishu.

Shabaab rebels continue to stage frequent attacks, seeking to counter claims that they are close to defeat after losing territory in the face of an African Union
...a union consisting of 53 African states, most run by dictators of one flavor or another. The only all-African state not in the AU is Morocco. Established in 2002, the AU is the successor to the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), which was even less successful...
and Somali government offensive, regular US drone strikes against their leaders and defections.

Currently affiliated to the Al-Qaeda franchise, there has been mounting speculation that the group could shift its allegiance to the Islamic State
...formerly ISIS or ISIL, depending on your preference. Before that al-Qaeda in Iraq, as shaped by Abu Musab Zarqawi. They're very devout, committing every atrocity they can find in the Koran and inventing a few more. They fling Allah around with every other sentence, but to hear the pols talk they're not really Moslems....
group.

The Shabaab were once a magnet for foreign volunteers, but their capacity to recruit has in recent years been eclipsed by the rise of Islamic State gunnies in Syria and Iraq, while several foreign Shabaab members have fallen victim to in-fighting and purges.
Link


Africa Horn
Leading Shebab figure dies in Somalia
2015-05-29
[AlAhram] A leading figure in the Somali-based Al-Qaeda-affiliated Shabaab movement has died in Somalia, the Islamic myrmidon group said Thursday.

In a death announcement and obituary carried by jihadist media, the Shabaab said Sheikh Hassan Abdulahi Turki, known as Hassan Turki, died on Wednesday evening in the Middle Juba region south of the capital Mogadishu. Turki was in his 70s and suffered from poor health.

"Sheikh Hassan Abdulahi Turki died last night in Hargeysa Yarey township. We pray to God to give him his mercy and accept his long-term good deeds," Shabaab front man Ali Mohamud Rage said in an audio message.

Rage said Turki "was one of Somalia's greatest scholars" who had met "Al-Qaeda leaders, led by the late Osama bin Laden
... who is now sometimes referred to as Mister Bones...
, twice in Afghanistan and another time in Sudan" and had fought against US soldiers in Mogadishu in 1993, the year 18 US soldiers were killed in the so-called Black Hawk Down incident during an ill-fated intervention.

The Æthiopian-born former soldier was a veteran Islamist who played a series of leading roles in Somalia's civil war.

Turki was a founding member of Al-Itihaad Al-Islami in the early 1990s alongside Hassan Dahir Aweys, often regarded as the godfather of Islamic militancy in Somalia. Together they also formed a successor group called Hizbul Islam.

Turki played a key role in the Islamic Courts Union, which briefly controlled Somalia in 2006, and helped establish the Shabaab which emerged in the wake of the US-backed Æthiopian invasion that ended its rule.

In 2004 the US put Turki on its list of global Al-Qaeda leaders after accusing him of involvement in the US embassy bombings in Kenya and Tanzania six years earlier. In 2008 he survived a US air strike targeting him and other myrmidon leaders in southern Somalia.

In recent years Turki's influence and importance waned as old age and ill-health took their toll.
Link


Africa Horn
Somalia Orders Shebab Renamed 'The Group That Massacres'
2015-05-05
So that if you see the term, you'll know what it means, dear Reader.
[AnNahar] Somalia's government has ordered journalists to call Islamist Shabaab Lions of Islam "the Group that Massacres the Somali People," or "Ugus", the acronym of the phrase in Somali.

"The meaning of al-Shabaab
... Somalia's version of the Taliban, functioning as an arm of al-Qaeda...
is 'The Youth', and that is a good name," Somalia's intelligence chief Abdirahman Mohamud Turyare told news hounds.

"We cannot allow that good name to be blemished, so the enemy we are fighting is called Ugus, an acronym of 'The Group that Massacres the Somali People'," he said.

The al-Qaeda-aligned group emerged in 2006 to lead a bitter insurgency against Æthiopia, whose troops entered Somalia in a U.S.-backed invasion to topple the Islamic Courts Union that controlled the capital Mogadishu at the time.

"It represents what they do, they massacre people," Turyare said of the new name. "I hope all the media join in taking this name as their official title."

The term Ugus is already in use by government-run radio and television stations, after its introduction several weeks ago.

Shabaab rebels stage frequent attacks in their fight to overthrow Somalia's internationally-backed government, and to counter claims that they are close to defeat due to the loss of territory, regular U.S. drone strikes against their leaders and defections.

They have also carried out Dire Revenge attacks across the wider region targeting countries which contribute troops to the 22,000-strong African Union
...a union consisting of 53 African states, most run by dictators of one flavor or another. The only all-African state not in the AU is Morocco. Established in 2002, the AU is the successor to the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), which was even less successful...
force.
Link


Africa Horn
Somali Shebab Bomb on U.N. Bus Kills at Least Six
2015-04-21
[AnNahar] Somalia's Shabaab Islamists killed at least six U.N. workers on Monday when they set off a huge bomb which destroyed a staff bus in the northeastern town of Garowe, police said.

Four of those killed worked for the U.N. children's agency, Unicef, while four other Unicef staff were in a "serious condition", the agency said in a statement.

The head of the United Nations
...an idea whose time has gone...
in Somalia, Nick Kay, said he was "shocked and appalled" by the loss of life, while Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud condemned a "brutal attack".

Somalia's Al-Qaeda-affiliated Shabaab holy warriors grabbed credit for the attack, branding the United Nations a "colonization force in Somalia".

Local police chief Ahmed Abdulahi Samatar said four of those killed were foreigners and two were Somalis, while seven others were also maimed, two of them foreigners.

"In attacking Unicef, Al-Shabaab
... the personification of Somali state failure...
has also attacked Somali children," Mohamud added. "It is an attack against the future of our country and I condemn it in the strongest possible terms."

The minibus, marked with the U.N. logo, was ripped apart by a ferocious blast.

"The improvised bomb attack occurred when the staff were traveling from their guest house to the office, normally a three-minute drive," Unicef said in a statement.

No details of nationalities of the foreigners killed and maimed were given.

Garowe, in the northeastern region of Somalia, is capital of the semi-autonomous Puntland
...a region in northeastern Somalia, centered on Garowe in the Nugaal province. Its leaders declared the territory an autonomous state in 1998. Puntland and the equally autonomous Somaliland seem to have avoided the clan rivalries and warlordism that have typified the rest of Somalia, which puts both places high on the list for Islamic subversion...
region.

Shabaab front man Abdulaziz Abu Musab confirmed the Islamist group had carried out the attack.

"We targeted the U.N. in Garowe, we killed some and maimed others. They are part of the colonization force in Somalia," he told AFP.

The Shabaab, meaning "youth", emerged out of a bitter insurgency against Æthiopia, whose troops entered Somalia in a 2006 U.S.-backed invasion to topple the Islamic Courts Union that was then controlling the capital Mogadishu.

Shabaab rebels continue to stage frequent attacks in their fight to overthrow Somalia's internationally-backed government, as well as to counter claims that they are close to defeat due to the loss of territory, regular U.S. drone strikes against their leaders and defections.

They have also carried out Dire Revenge attacks across the wider region against countries which contribute troops to the 22,000-strong African Union
...a union consisting of 53 African states, most run by dictators of one flavor or another. The only all-African state not in the AU is Morocco. Established in 2002, the AU is the successor to the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), which was even less successful...
force in Somalia, AMISOM.
Link


Africa Horn
Backgrounder: 'Gentle' Ex-Teacher Accused of Masterminding Kenya Massacre
2015-04-05
[AnNahar] Kenyan police have named homegrown myrmidon Islamist Mohammed Mohamud, a soft-spoken former teacher, as the alleged criminal mastermind of the massacre of 148 people in a university in Garissa.

Known also by the alias "Kuno", as well as "Dulyadin" and "Gamadhere" -- meaning "long armed" and "ambidextrous" -- the alleged Shabaab member is also wanted in connection with a string of recent cross-border killings and massacres in Kenya's northeastern border region.

Police have offered a 20 million shilling ($215,000, 200,000 euro) bounty for information leading to his capture.

Mohamud is a Kenyan national and an ethnic Somali -- like more than two million other Kenyans or some six percent of the population. The minority mainly lives in the country's vast, impoverished and arid northeast, where Garissa is one of the largest towns.

Kenya's ethnic Somali region is also claimed by the Shehab as part of Somalia itself, and has long been lawless, including the brutal secessionist 1963-1967 "Shifta war".

While Mohamud, thought to be in his late 50s, did not take part physically in the Garissa attack, students who survived the massacre described the attackers as men like him: speaking Kenya's Swahili language well, with some suggesting they may have been Kenyan too.

One of those tossed in the clink
Youse'll never take me alive coppers!... [BANG!]... Ow!... I quit!
of suspicion of supporting the gunnies include a Tanzanian -- found hiding in a ceiling with grenades -- and a university security guard, a Kenyan ethnic Somali, according to the interior ministry.

Mohamud was reportedly born in Æthiopia into the powerful Somali Ogaden clan, which controls the region where Æthiopia, Kenya and Somalia meet.

Photographs show a slender man with a short beard.

Kenyan police sources say he was a teacher and then headmaster of a madrassa in Garissa, but later became radicalized and crossed the mostly non-existent border into southern Somalia to join the Islamic Courts Union, a precursor to the Shabaab.

An AFP correspondent who met him in the Somali capital Mogadishu in 2008 and 2009, when the majority of the city was under Shabaab control, said Mohamud was a well-known and hardline commander.

He commanded a much feared Islamist unit in Mogadishu called the "Jugta-Culus" -- or "heavy strikers", who carried out some of the toughest fighting.

Mohamud, however, also appeared in person as educated as well as "quiet and gentle".

He appeared in several propaganda films showing Shabaab battles in southern Somalia, and later was a commander in the southern Somali Ras Kamboni militia, under the warlord Ahmed Madobe, a former Islamist commander turned Kenyan ally.

In the murky world of Somali gangs, politics and clan loyalties, Madobe's forces helped Kenyan forces seize the key port of Kismayo in 2012.

While Mohamud is on the run, Madobe now leads southern Somalia's Jubaland region.

But under pressure on their home soil, the Shabaab have reached into Kenya to carry out attacks and find recruits among disaffected youth in the Moslem-majority coastal and northeast regions.

In November, the Al-Qaeda-affiliated group grabbed credit for holding up a bus outside Mandera, separating passengers according to religion and murdering 28 non-Moslems.

Ten days later, 36 non-Moslem quarry workers were also massacred in the area.

A Shabaab statement on Friday warning Kenyans of further bloodshed, said the gunnies carried out the Garissa attack in Dire Revenge for the "systematic persecution of the Moslems in Kenya".

Attacks cited include Kenya's 1984 Wagalla massacre, when Kenyan troops trying to put down local conflict killed an unknown number of people - officially less than a hundred, while others claims up to 5,000 people.

Cash rewards for other Shabaab commanders -- offered by the U.S., and unlike Mohamud's bounty, in the millions of dollars -- are believed to have led to information that have resulted in a series of air strikes in Somalia to assassinate them.
Link


Africa Horn
Government names Mohamed Kuno as Garissa University College attack mastermind
2015-04-02
[Daily Nation (Kenya)] A Kenyan and a former teacher in Garissa has been named as the criminal mastermind of the terrorist attack at Garissa University College.

A Sh20 million bounty has been placed on the runaway, Mohammed Kuno, who has been on the run since December last year.

Kuno was then identified as the Al-Shabaab
... the personification of Somali state failure...
commander who oversaw the killings of 58 Kenyans in Mandera.

The corpse count in the latest attack is 15.

A security brief seen by the Nation says Kuno is a former teacher and Principal at Madarasa Najah in Garissa and has three aliases; Sheikh Mahamad, Dulyadin and Gamadheere.

He joined forces of Evil in Somalia at the time of the Islamic Courts Union, which later metamorphosed into Al-Shabaab.

He uses his family members in carrying out terrorist activities in northern Kenya.

Kuno, the brief added, is Al-Shabaab's leader for Juba region in Somalia, and currently in charge of external operations against Kenya.

Juba region shares a vast border with Kenya, and touches Mandera, Garissa, Wajir and Lamu counties.
Link


Africa Horn
Why dozens of ethnic Somalis in Scandinavia are embracing jihad
2013-10-24
[Shabelle] Scandinavia's humanitarian generosity in the 1990s appears to have backfired, as dozens of young ethnic Somalis living there have embraced jihad, returning to the Horn of Africa to join the al Qaeda affiliate Al-Shabaab.
... Somalia's version of the Taliban, functioning as an arm of al-Qaeda...
There's no word that equates to 'gratitude' in the Somali language.
Norway's Intelligence Agency PST is still investigating whether one of the attackers at the Westgate Mall in Nairobi had lived in Norway. The 23-year old had come to Norway with his family at the age of nine as a refugee, but according to Norwegian media had become unsettled after being unable to find work and begun to frequent jihadist websites.

In a statement last week, the PST said it had not yet been determined whether the man took part in the attack, but added: "Based on the information that we have uncovered this far in the investigation ... the suspicion of his involvement has been strengthened."

If it is confirmed, the Norwegian citizen will become the latest in a lengthening line of Somalis from Scandinavia who have either joined Al-Shabaab or planned terror attacks in their adopted homelands.

The Al-Shabaab commander known as Ikrima who was targeted by US Navy SEALs in an unsuccessful raid in Somalia earlier this month also spent several years in Norway. Kenyan counter-terrorism sources told CNN they suspected Ikrima had a hand in the Westgate attack and was connected to the suspected Norwegian gunman.
Morten Storm, a Dane and former intelligence informant who penetrated Al-Shabaab and spent time with Ikrima, told CNN that Danish intelligence are particularly concerned about the threat of a Somali terrorist operative who works closely with Ikrimah called Abu Musab al Somali.

Storm says Danish intelligence told him of their concern that al Somali was planning terrorist attacks inside Denmark after intercepting communications between him and bully boyz there.

Al Somali -- who also goes by the name Abu Moslem -- came to Denmark as a young refugee, was granted permanent resident status, and settled in Copenhagen. In 2005, al Somali travelled to Somalia where he joined other imported muscle affiliated with the Islamic Courts Union, an Islamist militia that evolved into Al-Shabaab. A year later al Somali travelled to Yemen to broker a weapons deal with al Qaeda, according to Storm.

After serving about two years in jail al Somali returned to Somalia, where he joined Al-Shabaab. According to Storm, who exchanged messages with al Somali, he also worked closely with Jehad Serwan Mostafa, an American Shabaab operative wanted by the FBI, and Abdelkadir Warsame, a Somali Al-Shabaab operative who was placed in durance vile
... anything you say can and will be used against you, whether you say it or not...
navigating the sea between Yemen and Somalia by the United States in 2011.

Ikrima's name also featured in the trial of two Swedish Somalis who were arrested in 2010 after allegedly training with Al-Shabaab in Somalia. Swedish authorities accused them of planning to return to Somalia to carry out terrorist attacks. A phone intercept between a senior Al-Shabaab figure in Somalia and one of those arrested was introduced during the trial. "You should contact this brother -- his name is Ikrima," the senior figure said on the phone.

After being convicted the pair were subsequently acquitted by an Appeals court, but it nevertheless noted the men were in contact with, and sympathetic to, Al-Shabaab.

Analysts estimate there are several hundred committed Al-Shabaab supporters across Scandinavia.

There are about 25,000 ethnic Somalis in Norway, 17,000 in Denmark and 44,000 in Sweden. The great majority arrived after Somalia collapsed as a state in 1991. Most have been grateful for sanctuary but a very small minority have become radicalized, especially among those who came to Europe as children.
Link


India-Pakistan
Two faces of terrorism
2013-09-26
[Dawn] THE terrorist atrocities perpetrated in Beautiful Downtown Peshawar
...capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (formerly known as the North-West Frontier Province), administrative and economic hub for the Federally Administered Tribal Areas of Pakistan. Peshawar is situated near the eastern end of the Khyber Pass, convenient to the Pak-Afghan border. Peshawar has evolved into one of Pakistan's most ethnically and linguistically diverse cities, which means lots of gunfire.
and Nairobi on the weekend were dissimilar but not exactly disconnected.

For one, both were explicitly directed against non-Mohammedans. The dozen or so men who stormed into the Westgate shopping mall in the Kenyan capital reportedly queried potential victims about their faith before singling out their victims. Outside the All Saints Church in the Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa
... formerly NWFP, still Terrorism Central...
capital, no such interrogation was deemed necessary.

The pattern of the Nairobi siege has been compared with the Mumbai rampage of 2008. The suicide kabooms in Peshawar, on the other hand, resemble the targeting of Shia imambargahs and Ahmadi places of worship. In both cases, however, commentators purportedly representing the perpetrators have harped on the theme of foreign military intervention as a primary motivational factor.

The Somali militia Al-Shabaab
... Somalia's version of the Taliban, functioning as an arm of al-Qaeda...
, which has grabbed credit for the Nairobi carnage, has said it was a response to Kenya's military role in neighbouring Somalia, where a ramshackle regime in Mogadishu barely survives in the presence of troops contributed by the African Union
...a union consisting of 53 African states, most run by dictators of one flavor or another. The only all-African state not in the AU is Morocco. Established in 2002, the AU is the successor to the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), which was even less successful...
(AU). The Shabaab militia, though, has a particular beef with Kenyan forces, which have collaborated with local warlords to substantially restrict its remit.

In Pakistain, it was initially reported that the Junoodul Hifsa, which is linked to the local Taliban, claimed the responsibility (subsequently denied by the Taliban). Reportedly, it said it had been provoked by the American drone strikes in the tribal areas -- without elaborating, obviously, on the connection between the All Saints churchgoers and the CIA's Predators, because there is none.

Sadly, but not altogether surprisingly, Imran Khan
... aka Taliban Khan, who is the lightweight's lightweight...
, whose party wields provincial power in KP, chose to implicitly harp on the same theme, while also linking the attack to elements opposed to the prospect of peace talks between the Taliban and the government in Islamabad, without specifying who he had in mind.

It is intriguing that the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistain (TTP) reportedly denied involvement in the attack, but in itself it proves nothing. It is hardly a secret, after all, that groups loosely affiliated with the Taliban pursue relatively independent agendas, so even if the TTP is not being entirely disingenuous, it is perfectly conceivable one of its associates may have decided to commit mass murder without clearing its plans with the TTP hierarchy.

It may well also be the case that whoever authorised the unutterably vile act was indeed determined, inter alia, to thwart any sort of grinding of the peace processor. If so, they are likely to have been pleased by Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif
... served two non-consecutive terms as prime minister, heads the Pakistain Moslem League (Nawaz). Noted for his spectacular corruption, the 1998 Pak nuclear test, border war with India, and for being tossed by General Musharraf...
's indication from London that in the wake of the monumental tragedy, conciliatory talks were off the agenda.

Perhaps he felt he had little choice. After all, many sensible voices in Pakistain oppose negotiations with dedicated killers as pointless, and arguably irresponsible. After all, in any civilised state, some things must be non-negotiable. Such as the sanctity of life.

Talks ought not to be written off completely as long as there is the slightest chance that they could lead to a modus vivendi that does not entail submitting to obscurantist blackmail. But given that the prospects of successful negotiations are incredibly slim, is there a Plan B in place? A dozen years after the 9/11 backlash, has the notion sunk in that Pakistain and terrorism cannot indefinitely coexist?

Pakistain cannot, surely, want to lapse into another Somalia. The lessons are tangential, no doubt, but ought not to be ignored. The African state fell into disarray following the ouster of Siad Barre in 1991, and was overrun by competing militias under rival warlords, a trend that UN and US intervention in the mid-1990s -- including an ill-fated contingent of Pak peacekeepers -- singularly failed to arrest.

A semblance of stability was eventually restored by the Islamic Courts Union (ICU), which fell short of a satisfactory solution, but temporarily brought peace to Mogadishu by sidelining the warlords. Its nomenclature alone may have sufficed, though, to provoke a disastrous US-backed Æthiopian invasion, which led to the ascendancy of Al-Shabaab, which had until then been a relatively minor component of the ICU.

There have since then been competing factions within Al-Shabaab, which affiliated itself with Al Qaeda a few years ago, with Somali nationalists -- who primarily opposed a foreign presence on their soil -- lately weeded out by the votaries of global jihad, who have attracted adherents, including British and US-born Somalis, from across the world. Both Al-Shabaab and the Kenyan authorities claim that the Westgate faceless myrmidons were a disparate bunch in terms of nationality.

The vast area Al-Shabaab once controlled within Somalia has also been shrinking, largely because of military operations by Kenyan and other AU forces in collaboration with warlords whose loyalties are easily bought. What's more, its leadership and ranks have lately been depleted by a vendetta against nationalists averse to the agenda of global jihadism.

The militia is likely to have been aware that the shopping mall it targeted in Nairobi is Israeli-owned, but it appears Westgate was chosen because it is magnet for Westerners as well as the Kenyan elite.

Its ruthlessness inevitably made the world pay attention. And Kenya, whose president and vice-president have both been implicated by the International Criminal Court
... where Milosevich died of old age before being convicted ...
in the violence that followed elections five years ago, has received offers of additional support from the UK, US and Israel.

Pakistain and Somalia are very different entities but, although it is clear that US intervention has not had a salutary effect in either case, stemming the bloodshed in both cases deserves more concerted engagement at a local level than, most tragically, has hitherto been the case.
Link


Africa Horn
Top Somali militant leader flees former Shebab comrades
2013-06-27
[Pak Daily Times] Veteran Somali Islamist leader Sheikh Hassan Dahir Aweys has fled former comrades in the Al-Qaeda linked Shabaab, officials said Wednesday, the most visible sign yet of splits in the long-running insurgency.
Is that him in the photo? Gentlemen, hold this example before your eyes when you ponder putting henna on your beard... then let it go grey naturally. On behalf of the world's womanhood, I thank you in advance.
Aweys, on both United States and UN Security Council terrorism sanctions lists, has sought shelter in the central Somali province of Himan and Heeb, after festivities with top Shabaab commander Ahmed Abdi Godane.

"It looks like he escaped attacks by Al-Shabaab
... Somalia's version of the Taliban, functioning as an arm of al-Qaeda...
," said Mohamed Omar Hagafey, Himan and Heeb front man, adding he was due to appear in the region's main town of Adado "escorted by the local authorities". Initial reports suggested he was not being held against his will. Himan and Heeb, an autonomous region best known for its pirate and kidnap gangs, is not controlled by Mogadishu's internationally-backed government. Aweys' forces have been allied with Shabaab troops since 2010, but he has been in outspoken opposition to Godane's leadership for more than a year.

But the septuagenarian influential holy man -- listed on UN sanctions lists as aged 78 -- is more of a spiritual figurehead than an active commander, and his split alone is likely to have little if any impact on the operational capacity of the Shabaab.

A wily but outspoken strategist, Aweys was a top leader of the Islamic Courts Union, a radical group that ruled Somalia in 2006 before being tossed by Æthiopian troops who stormed Somalia in a US-backed invasion. A respected former army colonel who fought in the 1977-78 Æthiopia-Somali war, he later commanded the Al-Itihaad al-Islamiya and Hizb al-Islam forces, before allying his gunnies with the Shabaab three years ago in a common fight to overthrow the government.

Aweys, who has recently been based in the southern port of Barawe, one of the few towns left in Shabaab hands, reportedly fled after festivities broke out between troops loyal to him and those of Godane, the main Shabaab leader.

Aweys has reportedly been aligned with a rival-Shabaab faction led by Afghan-trained leader Mukhtar Robow. Washington has offered multi-million dollar bounties for several top leaders, including $7 million for Godane and $5 million for Robow, but has offered no reward for Aweys. However,
corruption finds a dozen alibis for its evil deeds...
US sanctions lists in 2001 named him as a supporter of terrorism.
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