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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
An extremely difficult situation. Battles for Avdievka
2024-02-07
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.
[Korrespondent] Consequences of the shelling of Avdeevka

According to the General Staff, during the day, on February 6, in the Avdeevsky direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces repelled 20 attacks near Avdeevka.

Avdeevka is the hottest spot on the front at the moment. On Tuesday, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the invaders are actively attacking in the Avdiivka direction and are not abandoning attempts to encircle the city. Over the past 24 hours, the Defense Forces repulsed 29 attacks by the invaders in the area of ​​the settlements of Novobakhmutovka and Avdeevka, the report says. At the same time, military experts and journalists report a critical situation in the city.

ATTEMPT TO ENCIRCLE
The enemy became more active in the Avdeevka direction back in October. Analysts talk about partial successes of Russian troops near Avdievka, but there is almost no official data on this matter. The reports of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine only say that the Defense Forces are holding back the enemy, who is not abandoning attempts to encircle the city.

DeepState analysts report Russian assaults in the south and north of Avdievka. On the northern outskirts there is progress towards the quarry. To the west there are fierce battles for every house in Pervomaisky.

A report from the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) speaks of Russian advances along the H-20 Slavyansk-Mariupol highway on the eastern side of Avdeevka.

The so-called “Z-military correspondents” claim that the occupiers allegedly advanced near the Avdeevka Coke and Chemical Plant (AKHZ) on the northwestern outskirts and near the village of Stepovoye. The head of the public relations service of the 47th brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Magura, Dmitry Lazutkin, denies this fact. According to him, the front line sometimes shifts by 50-100 meters, but these are insignificant changes.

He also emphasized that north of Avdeevka the enemy is losing people and equipment, does not enter in columns, but uses several infantry fighting vehicles with artillery support, and attacks with guided bombs. According to him, the losses of the Russian army are 10 times greater than the Ukrainian ones, and even more in terms of equipment.

Positional battles also continue in the area of ​​the Tsarskaya Okhota restaurant on the outskirts of Avdeevka. Lazutkin notes that every day it becomes more and more difficult to defend the city.

PROBLEMS IN RESOURCES
“Battles take place for every yard. For battles in built-up areas, prepared and well-trained assault troops are needed. Conducting such battles is considered the most difficult. I’m not ready to talk about our capabilities, but the fact that the enemy is constantly hitting our defenders with artillery, mortars and aircraft is fact. The main point that many experts note is that as soon as the enemy is able to enter a multi-storey building, the situation may become critical. So far this has not happened, but the trends are alarming," notes former General Staff Speaker Vladislav Seleznev.

Expert of the Ukrainian Institute of the Future Ivan Stupak says that the Ukrainian defenders of Avdiivka are experiencing a hunger for shells: “They have an advantage in technology, they have aviation, a huge number of Russian fighters and bombers that drop KABs, guided bombs on our positions: 200, 300, 500 kilograms explosives that simply leave no stone unturned."

“The Russians will not take Avdeevka itself with these stupid assaults. But there is only one highway there through Orlovka, which connects Avdeevka with our rear. The occupiers have already advanced quite close to it and are crawling further. If they reach the highway, they will cut it. If it takes too long to hold back these meat assaults, when our artillery remains silent due to a lack of shells, the Russians will still crawl out. In this case, no one will leave a garrison there, no one will make a second Mariupol. Then we will have to retreat," adds the military expert, ATO veteran Evgeniy Dikiy.

CONSEQUENCES
We do love consequences hereabouts.
In Russia they are talking about the capture of Avdeevka before the first days of March as part of the election campaign of dictator Vladimir Putin. “Avdiivka is highlighted in the media. Accordingly, taking it under control will create an aura of victory for the Russian army. Since this army achieved its last large-scale successes in Soledar and Bakhmut,” states Seleznev.

According to Dikiy, the possible capture of Avdiivka will not have operational military significance for the occupiers. “That is, they will not break through our front, capturing the city. On the contrary, they will simply straighten out their front. In general, this is also useful. They will breathe a sigh of relief because we will be a little further from Donetsk. But no more. There is no talk of a deep breakthrough into our rear", he noted.

Posted by:badanov

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