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| Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia |
| Putin warned - and this will have to be reckoned with |
| 2023-06-17 |
| Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited. by Petr Akopov [RIA] Although Vladimir Putin refused to recommend anything to Joe Biden, the key point of his speech at SPIEF was formulated by him in his closing words. What is remembered is what was said last - and this phrase of Putin is addressed to the American president, and to the whole world, and to Russia: "We will do what suits our interests. And this will have to be taken into account." But all three hours of presidential work at the forum session were devoted to what exactly we will do. For almost an hour and a half, he talked about what needs to be done in the economy - to develop, strengthen, reform - to work so that Russia becomes stronger in the new, emerging post-Western world. In Putin's speech there was not a word about the hostilities in Ukraine, but everyone understands that everything else depends on their outcome for Russia. And then the president more than unequivocally made it clear: they will not be able to knock us off our course, they will not be able to interfere with us, they will not be able to defeat us. In Ukraine, we will go to the end, that is, until the achievement of our goals. What are they? Denazification - that is, a change not just of power, but also of the political regime in Ukraine. Security Council Secretary Patrushev recently said this, and although Putin did not speak about it directly, he emphasized that the Kiev regime is glorifying Bandera, that is, covering for neo-Nazis, and it is clear that no compromise on maintaining the current Ukrainian government is unacceptable for Russia. Demilitarization - which is expressed not only in the fact that Ukraine is already running out of its own weapons and military-industrial complex, but also in the intention to destroy any weapons transferred by the West. And if military aircraft are delivered and they begin to operate from the territory of other states, then "we will have to see how to hit them." That is, Putin openly warned of his readiness to strike at the airfields of NATO countries - this has so far kept the Americans from delivering their aircraft, but recently there has been a feeling that the West is preparing to test this level of escalation. So a reminder will not be superfluous - especially in conditions when the alliance is increasingly drawn into the conflict. And as for another topic that has been actively discussed in recent days - the possibility of using nuclear weapons - Putin was more than restrained. He only recalled that its "use is theoretically possible if there is a threat to the existence of Russia," but now there is no need to use it. Because the situation both in general and at the front is developing favorably for Russia and unsuccessfully for the West. And the point here is not the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and not the provocative attacks on the Belgorod region: Putin is sure that Russia can win without resorting not only to nuclear weapons, but also to carpet bombing of Ukraine. His words that “everyone is waiting,” as in response to provocations “we will start pressing buttons, but we will not do this,” refer not only to attacks on Kiev, but also (indirectly) to the use of tactical nuclear weapons. And in general, with regard to our entire strategy in relation to Ukraine, Russia cannot be pissed off, it will not be possible to provoke, Moscow is determined to act for a long time, to go to the end. Tactical tasks may change in this case - it is no coincidence that Putin said that with the continuation of attacks on the border territories (as was the case with the Belgorod region), the issue of creating a "cordon sanitaire" in Ukraine would be considered. By the way, this does not mean that if there are no such attacks, the same Kharkiv region will be left alone - it is too early to talk about the configuration of the future Ukraine (more precisely, what will remain of it), but neither Novorossia nor other historically Russian regions will definitely be in it. And this despite the fact that the new Ukraine, by definition, will not only not join NATO - it will be connected with Russia in all possible legal and physical ways. Is the West ready for this? Of course not, but that doesn't bother Putin either. Because now they don't want to have a conversation with Russia, "but they want to, and we'll see at what point and what we can talk to them about." Let's see under what conditions and how to negotiate a cessation of hostilities in Ukraine. Putin is convinced that the West will retreat sooner or later, convinced of the futility of betting on victory over Russia. That is, our country will win in Ukraine in any case - not by knockdown, but by points, not by the destruction of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but by reducing and actually stopping the supply of Western weapons and ammunition, without which the Ukrainian army simply will not be able to fight. In any case, everything will end only after the actually complete and unconditional surrender of Kyiv, and only time will tell how it will be named and framed. But this defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, At the same time, the Atlanticists will not sign any agreements with Russia - they will simply retreat from Ukraine, leave, convinced of the hopelessness of attempts to move the border between the West and the Russian world to the east. But in order to bring this day closer, Russia must be determined to stand to the end, not to doubt its strength and its rightness. And Vladimir Putin is set up that way. And everyone will have to take this into account. |
| Posted by:badanov |