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Caucasus/Russia/Central Asia
Igor Girkin: A brief overview of the situation at the front
2023-05-18
Direct Translation via Google Translate. Edited.

Commentary comes from the V Kontakte page of Igor Strelkov (Igor Girkin)

In general, the enemy continues to replenish, concentrate and transfer troops to the front-line areas. My forecast about the probable offensive of the enemy on the Southern Front (Zaporozhye + auxiliary strikes in the Donbass and in the Kherson region) remains valid. The timing of the onset - I can not guess. It can start at any moment.

On the front from the border with the Republic of Belarus to the LPR - without significant changes. In some places - battles of local importance, everywhere - artillery skirmishes and strikes on the rear with drones and missiles. Mutual loss.

The front of the LPR (to the Seversky Donets) - unchanged. the same as to the north.

DNR front. On the Bakhmut direction - oncoming attacks and counterattacks. In general - according to my personal assessment - the Armed Forces of Ukraine DO NOT plan to "beat off" Bakhmut - the enemy command only seeks to the very end to use the possibilities of passive urban defense in order to maximally exhaust the "Wagner" and those units of the RF Armed Forces that take part in attacks and battles on this direction.

There is no need to even talk about any "counter-offensive with the aim of encirclement" - this is an "information duck from Prigozhin" - the configuration of the "encirclement" front itself does not imply at all: the Armed Forces of Ukraine only seek to "smooth out" dangerous ledges north and south of Bakhmut with counterattacks. What is more important (for the enemy) is not the tactical, but the propaganda effect of those successes.

I assume the possibility that the enemy "clings to Bakhmut" (for its outskirts), trying to "hold out" before his offensive, so that against his background the media significance of the surrender of the remnants of the city "does not sound". Again, this is important for propaganda, and not militarily (in military terms, Bakhmut has long been "buried" by the Armed Forces of Ukraine).

On the Donetsk front - continuous shelling of Gorlovka, Makeevka and Donetsk by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Lots of civilian casualties. Near Avdeevka and in Marinka - without significant changes. Fights of local importance and mutual extermination of infantry by artillery, located at the forefront. Unless - there is a sharp increase in the artillery fire of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - they brought a lot of shells, they stopped saving them.

In other sectors of the front - in general, the same picture. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are "informatively overpowering" in the floodplain of the Dnieper. The enemy does not have real advances that go beyond the scope of propaganda "victories". Due to the high density of units and subunits of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the frontline area, our artillery and rocket strikes often hit the spot, causing heavy losses in manpower and equipment. However, the same can be said about enemy missile strikes, unfortunately ... Regarding

the tragedy with the one-day death of two modern aircraft and two helicopters of the Russian Aerospace Forces in the Bryansk region, I do not have any "exclusive" information, therefore I refrain from detailed comments.

P.S. Information about the dead pilots gives SW. Viktor Alksnis on his pages.
Posted by:badanov

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