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| -Short Attention Span Theater- |
| Universal Rules of Intelligence |
| 2005-07-26 |
| Posted by "Dafydd" at Captain's Quarters. Thinking about the terrible shooting of Brazilian electrician Jean Charles de Menezes, shot to death in London by police who mistook him for a suicide bomber, recalls some rules of intelligence and analysis that we should always keep in mind: 1. The Law of Imperfect Precognition: Sometimes there is no "right choice." Throw the dice. 2. The Law of Imperfect Postcognition: Not even hindsight is ever really 20-20. 3. The Law of Colliding Interests: Five different people can each make a rational decision and still wind up in a melee. 4. The Law of the Rational Onion: There is always another layer of analysis that contradicts everything you've already concluded. At some point, you just have to stop. 5. The Law of Models: There is a real reality out there, whether you can see it or not. And it bites. |
| Posted by:Mike |
| #1 Intelligence is finite. Today, there are just more people. |
| Posted by: Crans Thaling7071 2005-07-26 12:35 |